Monday, September 06, 2010

Global Warming Illogic of the Day

According to an August 16th Georgia Tech news release (hyperlinks added):
While Arctic sea ice has been diminishing in recent decades, the Antarctic sea ice extent has been increasing slightly. Researchers from the Georgia Institute of Technology provide an explanation for the seeming paradox of increasing Antarctic sea ice in a warming climate. The paper appears in the Early Edition of the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science the week of August 16, 2010.

"We wanted to understand this apparent paradox so that we can better understand what might happen to the Antarctic sea ice in the coming century with increased greenhouse warming," said Jiping Liu, a research scientist in Georgia Tech’s School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences.

For the last half of the 20th Century, as the atmosphere warmed, the hydrological cycle accelerated and there was more precipitation in the Southern Ocean surrounding Antarctica. This increased precipitation, mostly in the form of snow, stabilized the upper ocean and insulated it from the ocean heat below. This insulating effect reduced the amount of melting occurring below the sea ice. In addition, snow has a tendency to reflect atmospheric heat away from the sea ice, which reduced melting from above.

However, the climate models predict an accelerated warming exceeding natural variability with increased loading of greenhouse gases in the 21st century. This will likely result in the sea ice melting at a faster rate from both above and below.
The word "paradox" is defined as "A seemingly contradictory statement that may nonetheless be true." As Watts Up With That? commenter Rob Dawg says:
When a model fails to reflect the data it is not a paradox. A paradox is when to two equally true things are mutually exclusive. There is no paradox for a broken model to exist right along with contradictory data.
No wonder the doomsayers still predict dangerous global warming--any contrary data is dismissed as a paradox. Warming, therefore, forever remains unfalsifiable. Meaning it's not science -- even where it was plagiarized! And that's the real meltdown.

BTW, it's "global warming day" on NOfP -- four posts in 18 hours.

(via Watts Up With That?)


Assistant Village Idiot said...

Jerry Pournelle has some thoughts I had not considered before on the AGW issue.

Warren said...


Freeman Dyson agrees:

"The average ground temperature of the Earth is impossible to measure since most of the Earth is ocean...So this average ground temperature is a fiction."

More in this four-minute video

OBloodyHell said...

> BTW, it's "global warming day" on NOfP -- four posts in 18 hours.

OH NO!!!!


If this trend continues, the blog will be NOTHING but AGW pieces within a few weeks!?!?!?

Quick, someone file for a TARP grant to study the effect of AGW on blog content!!!

This trend **MUST** **BE** **STOPPED**, and quickly !!


OBloodyHell said...

> Jerry Pournelle has some thoughts

LOL. Jerry backed AGW only a few years ago, I had a couple e-mail back-and-forths on it somewhere like 2003.

At least he's since figured out it was all a scam. Took him a lot longer than I would've expected it to (since ZERO is actually how long I would've expected it to take -- he's old enough to be wary of that kind of crap just on societal experience, and technically literate enough to have seen the same questionable crap I did all along)