Saturday, December 11, 2004

Lomborg on Warming

Bjorn Lomborg writes in the Sunday Telegraph (UK). He says global warming is both real and man-made (I think the jury out on the later point), but:
[T]he climate models show we can do very little about the warming. Even if everyone (including the United States) did Kyoto and stuck to it throughout the century, the change would be almost immeasurable, postponing warming by just six years in 2100.

Likewise, the economic models tell us that the cost is substantial. The cost of Kyoto compliance is at least $150 billion a year. For comparison, the UN estimates that half that amount could permanently solve the most pressing humanitarian problems in the world: it could buy clean drinking water, sanitation, basic health care and education to every single person in the world. . .

So action on global warming is basically a very costly way of doing very little for much richer people far into the future. We need to ask ourselves if this indeed should be our first priority.
My view's closer to Steven Den Beste's:
[I]t is by no means proved that it's caused by CO2. There is strong evidence that the current warming cycle is primarily driven by changes in the output of the Sun, which should peak in about a hundred years and begin to cool again.
(via Daily Pundit)

More:

Reason Magazine's Ron Bailey agrees in TechCentralStation that Kyoto compliance is wasteful and proposes to help the developing world "the old-fashioned way by encouraging economic growth and free trade to alleviate poverty, illiteracy, maternal and infant mortality, and so forth." Bailey also reviews Michael Crichton's new eco-thriller State of Fear. A far less positive review appears in the NY Times.

Fair and Balanced

The Economist, May 6, 2004, in an editorial headlined Responsibility for errors and indiscipline needs to be taken at the top:
The [Abu Ghraib] scandal is widening, with more allegations coming to light. Moreover, the abuse of these prisoners is not the only damaging error that has been made and it forms part of a culture of extra-legal behaviour that has been set at the highest level. Responsibility for what has occurred needs to be taken—and to be seen to be taken—at the highest level too. It is plain what that means. The secretary of defence, Donald Rumsfeld, should resign. And if he won't resign, Mr Bush should fire him.
The Economist, December 9, 2004, in an editorial headlined Calls for the secretary-general to resign over the oil-for-food scandal are premature:
That there was a scandal is not in question. . . .This is a vast scam: its details must be uncovered and the guilty punished. But the details have not yet been uncovered, no charge has been proven, and no official has been convicted of corruption, though some may yet be.

Shouldn't the man at the top go anyway? Mr Annan is not the boss of a firm or president of a country, at whose desk the buck must automatically stop. He is the servant of his political masters. This general rule applied with a particular vengeance in the oil-for-food programme. The UN set up a secretariat to manage the programme, but the members of the Security Council maintained ultimate control. Every contract was scrutinised by a committee of its 15 members. It was not Mr Annan's fault that this committee soon became deadlocked.
Any questions?

Can Europe Assimilate Islamic Immigrants?

Another powerful piece from NRO's Victor Davis Hanson, wrapped in a Tolkien metaphor. Hanson ponders the survival of Europe:
[Who] will soberly but firmly demand assimilation and integration of all immigrants, an end to mosque radicalism, even-handedness in the Middle East, no more subsidies to terrorists like Hamas, a toughness rather than opportunist profiteering with the likes of Assad and the Iranian theocracy — and make it clear that states that aid and abet terrorists in Europe due so to their great peril.
The evidence so far suggests not:
The Netherlands was a litmus test for Europe. Unlike Spain or Greece, which had historical grievances against Islam, the Dutch were the avatars of the new liberal Europe, without historical baggage. They were eager to unshackle Europe from the Church, from its class and gender constraints, and from any whiff of its racist or colonialist past. True, for a variety of reasons, Amsterdam may be a case study of how wrong Rousseau was about natural man, but for a Muslim immigrant the country was about as hospitable a foreign host as one can imagine. Thus, it was far safer for radical Islamic fascists to damn the West openly from a mosque in Rotterdam than for a moderate Christian to quietly worship in a church in Saudi Arabia, Iran, or Algeria. And yet we learn not just that the Netherlands has fostered a radical sect of Muslims who will kill and bomb, but, far more importantly, that they will do so after years of residency among, and indeed in utter contempt of, their Western hosts. . .

It is almost as if the killers in Amsterdam said, "I want your cell phones, unfettered Internet access, and free-spirited girls, but hate the very system that alone can create them all. So please let me stay here to destroy what I want."
If Muslim immigrants cannot become Muslim Europeans, or Europe cannot assimilate Muslim immigrants, doesn't that increase the risk calculus addressed earlier and at Winds of Change?

Friday, December 10, 2004

Democratic Party Acquired

To be Merged Into Anti-America, Inc.

by No Oil for Pacifists
Dateline: December 10

(Washington, DC) - The Democratic Party, the oldest political organization in America, is going out of business. Last night, MoveOn announced it had completed a tender offer for Dem. Inc. and expected to close the deal on February 12, 2005.

MoveOn, a left-wing pacifist '527' organization, acquired a minority interest in the Democrats earlier this year. However, Democrats initially rejected an offer from MoveOn's wholly-owned subsidiary, Howard Dean, after the Party grew concerned about Dean's managerial talents. Democrats instead hired as CEO John Kerry, who claimed to be "ready for duty." Though Kerry presented himself as a "white knight," his late-60s-vintage corporate strategies, proved him more of a "dark horse." Ultimately, the market lost confidence in Kerry, prompting Dean to launch a hostile takeover.

MoveOn, says Peter Beinhart, is considered:
"the most important political advocacy group in Democratic circles," boasts more than 1.5 million members and raised a remarkable $40 million for the 2004 election. . . MoveOn's frequent bulletins . . . convey the same basic hostility to U.S. power [and] have largely lost interest in any agenda for fighting terrorism at all.
Experts were unsure that new management would be able to attract new customers, especially among the young and Latinos. Founded in 1792 by Thomas Jefferson, the company's suffered ten-year slide in market-share. Though MoveOn plans cost-cutting measures, the only change announced so far is closing loss-making operations in the South and mid-West.

# 30 #

Thursday, December 09, 2004

Only 3 Voting Days Left

Just a reminder that voting for the 2004 Weblog Awards close on Sunday. However, everyone's allowed to vote once every 24 hours. So, even if you have voted already, surf over to the top 5000-6750 category and vote for No Oil for Pacifists again!


Click to Vote the 5000-6750 Category

In addition to my own blog, I'm endorsing:

Iraq, American Style

From Andy Borowitz:
IRAQI ELECTIONS DELAYED

The Iraqi elections, originally set for January 2005, have been delayed six months to give the Iraqi people enough time to produce and air negative political ads, the White House announced today.

“The purpose of these elections is to foster democracy in Iraq, but without negative ads, there is no democracy,” said White House spokesman Scott McClellan.
Chuckle, snort. Read it all.

Assessing the Threat

Armed Liberal at Winds of Change, and Kevin Drum at Washington Monthly are conducting a spirited and mostly high-level debate trying to quantify the threat to the United States posed by radical Islamic terror. Drum's initial post was inspired by Peter Beinart's New Republic article quoted here earlier. Hundred of comments have been filed; Armed Liberal has a follow-up thread. This post is an edited version of my comments.

Drum--the more liberal of the two--proposed a four part analytical framework: "For what it's worth, I think any honest account needs to address at least the following four items:
  • Nuclear terrorism. A terrorist group with a nuclear weapon poses an entirely different threat than one without, so this needs to be treated as a danger all its own. How likely is it that a terrorist group could really acquire a nuclear weapon? And deliver it? And what's the best way to stop it? The fact that the Bush administration has been so lackadaisical on this score is going to make this a hard argument to deliver convincingly. If they don't take it seriously, why should anyone else?


  • Garden variety terrorism. Aside from the nuclear scenario, what's the actual danger from terrorist groups like al-Qaeda? 9/11 was due to luck and poor foresight, but now that we know the danger how much military harm can they really do to us? How much economic harm? And how likely is it?


  • Expansionism. Do Islamic extremists really have much interest in anyplace outside the Middle East? To the best of my knowledge, no Islamic country in the greater Middle East has ever invaded or shown the slightest interest in invading a country that wasn't a neighbor. Is Islamic extremism fundamentally expansionist, like fascism and communism, or not?


  • Oil. Nobody wants to talk honestly about this, but it's obviously the reason we care about the Middle East in the first place and don't care much about, say, sub-Saharan Africa — and therefore care about Islamic totalitarianism but not sub-Saharan totalitarianism. The problem here is shared by both liberals and conservatives.

    On the left, "no blood for oil" is childishness. Economic interests are and always have been a legitimate concern of national governments, and a steady supply of oil is plainly vital to the industrialized world. If a Taliban-like regime deposed the House of Saud and took over Saudi Arabia, for example, they might decide to tighten the taps because they figure they only need half as much oil money as they currently receive — after all, most of it just went to those decadent westernized royal princes anyway. The resulting oil shock would almost certainly cause a global depression of enormous magnitude. This would be a disaster, and one that would hurt the poor far more than the rich.

    On the right, conservatives hypocritically refuse to admit that oil has anything to do with anything. It's all about democracy promotion, you see — despite the fact that our national policies have virtually nothing to do with genuinely promoting democracy. What's more, conservatives make a bad problem worse by practically sneering at the idea that anyone should take seriously the idea of greater energy conservation or alternative energy sources. Squawking endlessly about ANWR — which contains a minute amount of oil — just trivializes the whole problem.

Kevin concedes that he's omitted any "humanitarian case for intervening (or not intervening) in the Middle East," presumably because agreement between left and right might be easier.

I think Kevin's framework is helpful; this post addresses only the third point. Kevin calls it expansionism, but I'd rephrase it as follows: Has something changed to make conflict between "the West" and Islam either inevitable or desirable? The opposite sides are polarized: a liberal who compares the invasion of Iraq to the genocide of Native Americans and a conservative who's convinced that tension between Islam and the West "will inevitably lead to conflict in the future" unless either the West or Islam changes drastically.

I'm risk averse about a catastrophe potentially sudden and widespread. America must guess--without perfect knowledge of our opponents or of the future, I think radical Islam is a grave threat, for two reasons:
Experts and scholars such as Bernard Lewis insist combining the Koran with shared historical grievance (even if objectively erroneous) likely will be lethal. The Catholic Answers Organization predicts Endless Jihad:
To understand the connection between Islam and violence, one must understand certain facets of the Muslim worldview. One of the most important is the fact that, according to the historic Muslim understanding, there is no separation between religion and government—what in Christianity would be called the separation of church and state. We are not speaking here of the secularist idea that the state should marginalize religion and discourage people from voting their consciences as Christians. We are talking about the idea that church and state are not the same thing and that they have different spheres of activity.

[This] means that Islam is not only a religion. It is also a political ideology. If the government of the Muslim community simply is God's government, then no other governments can be legitimate. They are all at war with God. As a result, Muslims have typically divided the world into two spheres, known as the Dar al-Islam--the "house of Islam" or "house of submission" to God--and the Dar al-Harb, or "house of war"--those who are at war with God.
Remember, before submitting to Islam, North Africa and Persia didn't seem to share much with what now is Saudi Arabia. But, Islam arrived rapidly, and conquered:
Islam spread in North Africa with remarkable speed, and by the year 732 C.E., which marked the first centennial of Muhammed's death, his followers were the masters of an empire greater than that of Rome at its Zenith, an empire extending from the Bay of Biscay to the Indus and the confines of China and from the Aral Sea to the lower contracts of the Nile.
Of course, not all Muslims are terrorists. But, nearly all terrorists are Muslim. And, globalization and mass media alerted radical Islam to the infidels (which they define as ALL the West, not just America and Israel). So they declared war on us--as the Koran requires.

In sum, we don't have to decide whether radical Islam is expansionist. Radical Islam already said so. And opposition, without action, won't stop 'um.

More:

I've replied to some of the arguments:
I agree completely with Glenn and jinnderella.

lewy14's argument is utterly off-track. The issue is not whether terrorists are good or bad Muslims. It's irrelevent whether terrorists are mistaken about the requirement of the Islamic cannon: their victims remain murdered. Moreover, whether or not Islam eventually experiences an enlightnment sometime in the future also makes no difference: the President has to defend America today.

The West's appropriate security/defense policy can't turn on whether any particular terrorist has a direct pipe-line to Allah, or whether there there will be a Martin al-Luther in the 22nd century. This fourm's focused on quantifying the threat today. Let's stay on topic.
Still More:

I've posted another reply, number 58, here.

Wednesday, December 08, 2004

Sheep in Hawk's Clothing

Some on the left, such as Peter Beinart in The New Republic, seem serious about reforming the Democratic Party. Apparently, Matthew Yglesias isn't one of them:
But if there's anything that left-of-center people of different stripes ought to be able to agree on it's that this won't do as a political strategy. Even if you don't think the "war on terror" should be a big deal, there's no denying that, in the eyes of the voters, it is a big deal, so Democrats need to say something about it. A lot of people on the left seem to have decided that the Cold War was exceptional and that the elections of 1992-2000 represent the norm and, therefore, national security will drop off the agenda soon enough. This seems clearly wrong. National security was a key campaign issue from 1988 all the way back to 1936, at least. The elections of 1916 and 1920 turned largely on foreign policy, and the question of imperialism factored heavily in the William Jennings Bryan campaigns around the turn of the century. As America has emerged throughout the 20th century as a major world power, the question of what to do with that power has usually been on the agenda and will pop up frequently as a voting issue for the foreseeable future.
Uh, Matt, "voters prefer authentic to ersatz." And "fake" defense won't protect America from terrorists. If Democrats are ever to be taken seriously for national office, they need to evidence a genuine interest in national security. Like a fake orgasm, a "fair-weather hawk" won't do.

(via Citizen Smash)

Deficit Nonsense

I'm passionately committed to free trade--it brings American consumers innovative products at reduced prices. So I'm always distressed when the usual suspects start worrying their trade-deficit rosary beads. Lately, the bead volocity has been approaching the speed of light.

So I was grateful for John Tamny's comment on NRO today. He calmly shows the weakness of the worrier's arguments:
In a November 30 editorial, “Dollar slides, alarms ring,” USA Today’s editorialists noted that “foreign investors now own an estimated 48% of U.S. Treasury bills,” and that they could become “majority owners of federal debt in coming years.” In another example of the schizophrenia that characterizes trade-deficit worriers, the very same editorial said dollar weakness could be a signal of the “world’s increasing impatience with the United States’ habit of living beyond its means.”

Which is it? Indeed, if the world is increasingly impatient with the U.S., it has a funny way of showing it. Logic suggests that if investors were impatient, they would be dumping U.S. debt. Yet the same editorial said the opposite is occurring. In addition, U.S. Treasuries pay a dollar-denominated coupon: Is it remotely realistic to assume that foreign owners of an increasingly large share of U.S. debt would want to see the value of their payments (and bond holdings) reduced?
Tamny's conclusion couldn't be clearer:
[There's a] glaring flaw in the arguments made by trade-deficit worriers. Since it’s an empirical fact that our trade deficits are driven by massive inflows of foreign capital, it must from there be deduced that money doesn’t flow here because the world loves us (the Left says they hate us), but because the worldwide investment community still sees U.S. economic policies that embrace low taxation and low regulation as ones that will yield the best returns.

In short, we can reduce the trade deficit, but only if we pursue the kinds of high-tax, tariff, and regulatory policies that would impoverish us. Because of that, Americans should beware of those offering solutions to our supposed balance-of-trade problem. The cure is much worse than the unambiguously positive symptom.
Or more generally, "Everything is 'compared to what?'"

More:

Another good Tammy article on trade deficits, particularly regarding China.

Triple Witching Hour--And the Witches Brew

Professional sports are more depressing than ever. Yes, football's great (though, alas, the Redskins stink). But baseball's over--the playoffs were terrific; the World Series anticlimactic. Basketball's turned into boxing. And hockey's gone, perhaps never to return.

As a result, except for Sunday's television and Monday's newspaper, sports news is either boring or bad. Now, baseball's steroids scandal is the bridge too far for me. And George Will published his best column in years today explaining why:
Athletes chemically propelled to victory do not merely overvalue winning, they misunderstand why winning is properly valued. Professional athletes stand at an apex of achievement because they have paid a price in disciplined exertion -- a manifestation of good character. They should try to perform unusually well. But not unnaturally well. Drugs that make sport exotic drain it of its exemplary power by making it a display of chemistry rather than character -- actually, a display of chemistry and bad character.
Will's article is beautifully written and captures the nuance. Make sure you read the whole thing.

Chemical Cocktails

Still think we're fighting "insurgents" in Iraq? If you answered "yes," look at this slide show of chem labs in Fallujah--hosted by Charles Johnson at Little Green Footballs. As you can see, it's full of toxic chemicals (some imported from China) and "how-to" manuals for producing explosives.

At least these terrorist bomb factories will kill no more.

Tuesday, December 07, 2004

Hyping for Headlines And Hiring

The invaluable JunkScience.com--which publicizes "faulty scientific data and analysis used to advance special and, often, hidden agendas"--unveiled this year's Top Ten Most Embarrassing Moments, including:
  1. The Center for Disease Control and Prevention announced that obesity caused 400,000 deaths annually in the U.S., a figure approaching the annual death toll for smoking. . . However, in the past month, The Wall Street Journal published several articles arguing the study inflated "the impact of obesity on the annual death toll," and that the CDC plans to revise its obesity death toll downward.

    As it turns out, "even before the disputed study was published, several scientists at the CDC expressed misgivings to their superiors about its methodology and findings…The dissenting scientists complained that their concerns were ignored and that the agency's rigorous standards governing scientific research hadn't been followed," reported the Journal.


  2. A new report by the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment cautioned "Global warming could cause polar bears to go extinct by the end of the century by eroding the sea ice that sustains them." JunkScience.com says the report doesn't connect greenhouse gases with any alleged warming. Indeed, the reports debunks itself in a graph on Page 23:


    Observed Arctic Temperature, 1900 to Present (click to enlarge)

    In the past hundred years, arctic temperatures have fluctuated in cycles roughly 40 years long. And, as George Taylor also has shown, the near-surface Arctic air temperature was higher around 1940 than now, despite all the greenhouse gas emissions since.


  3. A study in the Feb. 18 issue of the Journal of the American Medical Association reported that all levels of antibiotic use were associated with increased risk of breast cancer and death from breast cancer. The study triggered an avalanche of “Antibiotics Linked to Breast Cancer” news reports. According to JunkScience.com, however, the study supplied no evidence that antibiotics caused the cases of breast cancer examined. . .

    Without a plausible biological link between antibiotic use and breast cancer, the researchers relied exclusively on statistical analysis. . . Though the researchers acknowledged their study doesn’t prove antibiotics cause breast cancer and that many other possible explanations for their reported results could exist, they called for more research -- that is, more taxpayer-funded research like this study.
Liberals and the mainstream media often unearth new environmental threats that later are retracted (remember Alar?) or ignored when a Democrat is President (remember arsenic?). Still, they seem convinced the end is near, and zero is the only appropriate ceiling. As I've previously noted:
why is the left so passionately committed to unproven fear mongering? Genetically modified foods, which could increase farm yields and reduce death from starvation, are widely vilified--without a single fatality. The press faithfully headlines every pronouncement of warmer (or cooler) weather, without checking the facts. The media rarely acknowledges scientists who predict no or insignificant global warming. This puts assumptions about man-made warming to the left of even the United States Senate, which called the Kyoto treaty "dead on arrival," and refused to consider ratification, by a vote of 95-0.

It's hard for layman like us to dispute science experts. But it's easy to take account of incentives and bias. Few lefties bother.
Some researchers survive on government funding; others hope for a break-though bringing tenure. Either way, professing alarm is substantially more remunerative and noteworthy than debunking. This isn't to fault researchers--only to caution that scientists aren't necessarily simon-pure. And the media is uninterested in good news; the imminent destruction of Earth, however, is a by-lined, front-page story (and a possible Pulitzer).

In sum, the most appropriate environmental policy is skepticism. That's the value of JunkScience.com.

(via Dave Koppel)

Downtown

Stephen at ColdSpringsShop blogs an article--third in the series (begins here)--from the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel about re-invigorating the urban downtown:
Civic and business leaders were hoping to replicate the old model of factory job creation for a Northern industrial city. Steeltech trained the unemployed as welders. Minority managers received majority stakes. The plant began life with a $66 million federal contract, five forms of state and federal funds, loans from six banks, its own special tax district and 42 lawyers.

It failed spectacularly.

Steeltech declared bankruptcy in 1999, eight years after its inception, leaving an empty factory inexplicably riddled with bullet holes and discrediting for many the old urban policy mix.
Stephen's says forced communities usually flounder:
To repeat, freedom to associate includes the freedom not to associate. What sort of public policy requires some kids to continue to attend school with other kids, simply to achieve some sort of "diversity?" Uniformity of underachievement appears to be the end result.
Though I agree completely, there might be another factor: attorneys. The 42 new lawyers in Milwaukee is quite a downside--I doubt lawyers contribute to GDP growth or productivity. Or to good spirits in general.

Except for those in the Washington D.C. region (where 1 in 12 is a lawyer) or Florida during leap years around Election Day.

Typo (or Freudian Slip) of the Week

From Lee Findley, a pompous and liberal college sophomore, describing NY Times economic blovator Paul Krugman as "the patronizing saint of the American left."

(via Donald Luskin)

I'm So Ronery

A colleague's brother just took the oral portion of the Foreign Service Exam, a pre-requisite for a Foreign Service job at the State Department. He also was examined in foreign language skills, specifically Korean. In another sign of our effective, pro-active State Department, one of the questions was "What is the Korean word for homosexual?"

So now you know: it is going to be on the exam.

Monday, December 06, 2004

Tangled Up in Blue

Ben Stein--a writer, economist, actor and lawyer--describes the perils of California conservatives in The American Spectator:
The man at the Christmas tree tent in Malibu kept winking at me and nodding when no one else was looking. I smiled and kept looking at the trees. (In Malibu, we Jews have Christmas trees.) Finally, he motioned to me to come over to is table. He cupped his hand over his mouth and took my hand. "We won," he said. "We won."

I knew exactly what he meant. "You can talk about it," I said. "This is America."

"Yes, but it's also Malibu and I don't want people yelling at me."
Read the whole thing.

(via Professor Bainbridge)

Moonbats in the News

The Lancaster, Pennsylvania, City Council has seven members, including a Democrat named Nelson Polite. Resident David Stoltzfus sells baked goods at Lancaster's Central Market, and--since opening nearly two years ago--displayed a picture of the President above his stand. But even ten days to recover from Bush's re-election wasn't sufficient to make the Councilman polite, according to The Lancaster New Era:
Polite, a Democrat, says the photos should go.

When he approached Stoltzfus three weeks ago, he said the photo offended him and city Democrats.

Polite says he had received complaints from constituents who thought the photos were inappropriate, especially after the presidential election. . .

Polite says political items do not belong in Central Market and if Stoltzfus refuses to take down the photos, he’ll take the matter before City Council to get the city law changed to ban all political items in public places.

"There should be rules," says Polite.
If the tiff seems all too familiar, you may recall a few months ago when a New Jersey public school teacher was expelled for taking a picture of the President and First Lady to the classroom bulletin board. So before, during and after the election, the left is consumed with Bush-hatred.

Of course, liberals employ a cock-eyed mirror, and never notice the traits they oppose flourishing within. Though they claim to be non-judgmental and tolerant, Democrats are prejudiced against and revolted by, Republicans.

Clearly Mr. Polite can't live up to his billing. Yet, apart from his delightful name, the Lancaster City Councilman's no different than others on the left. How can I be sure? Simple--on October 14th, Mr. Polite spoke at a "stop the hate rally" sponsored by the Alliance for Tolerance and Freedom.

Today's Democrats twist tolerance into bigotry, and convert freedom into compulsion. Other than over-estimating by 20 years, Orwell was right.

(via Best of the Web)

Return to Sender

Canada's conservative newspaper, the National Post, firmly supports the liberation of Turtle Bay:
Over the decade-long run of the oil-for-food program, the UN and several member states looked on as Saddam Hussein siphoned off at least 20% of its $100-billion revenues for his personal use. Hundreds of millions went to rebuilding the Iraqi army; more was paid out in kickbacks to Western politicians, governments, political parties, journalists and UN officials who looked the other way. Tens of millions funded terrorist training and operations around the world, particularly among Palestinians. The grandiose, sprawling palaces U.S. troops discovered when they liberated Baghdad and other Iraqi cities were constructed by Saddam and his family with the proceeds from oil sales meant to pay for food and medicines for ordinary Iraqis. Critics of the American- and British-backed sanctions against Iraq that were in place from the early 1990s until the 2003 invasion claimed they were responsible for the deaths of 100,000 Iraqis per year through malnutrition and disease. But we now know it was Saddam's lust for gold plumbing fixtures and weapons that caused the lion's share of Iraqi hardship.

Under Mr. Annan's leadership, the UN feigned blindness to all this. To make matters worse, it recently became clear that Mr. Annan's son Kojo was a beneficiary of oil-for-food largesse. . . .

Given all this, it is amazing to think that Mr. Annan was once thought to be a man who could help reform the United Nations. Indeed, he was originally the Americans' choice for his position (mostly because they were keen to prevent the even more inept Boutros Boutros-Ghali from winning a second term in 1996). But whether or not he was the wrong choice from the get-go, or a good man whose leadership came to progressively resemble the stunning dysfunctionality of the organization he was picked to run, there is no doubt that his tenure as the United Nations' leader should end as soon as possible.
Today's Washington Times goes further to tag Annan for the failure of consensus surrounding the invasion of Iraq:
U.S. taxpayers provide 22 percent of the United Nations operating budget. And what do they get in return? More often than not, failure. By last year, for example, it had become obvious that diplomatic inducements were not going to be able to persuade Saddam to comply with myriad Security Council disarmament resolutions he had flouted. But the council was unable to agree to the use of force against his regime, due at least in part to the fact that prominent political figures in countries like France and Russia were receiving bribes through the oil-for-food program. So the United States was forced to go outside the United Nations in order to put together a coalition against Saddam.
Claudia Rosett first broke the "oil-for-palaces" story in the National Review and the Wall Street Journal a year ago. Apart from Ms Rosett, the mainstream media largely ignored the issue--careful to preserve Kerry's "global test" during the election. So blogs kept the theme alive.

Were it to occur, Kofi Annan's resignation would be the third (after Trent Lott and Dan Rather) prompted by the chaotic, pajama-clad amateurs of the blogosphere. Right now, I'd guess Kofi stays, protected by the anti-Americanism-trumps-any-other-value sickness already common among Democrats.

Still, imagine if Kofi quit. The left already considers the U.N. the template for global government--so forcing Annan's resignation would be akin to the impeachment and conviction of the world's President. That would make the scandal bigger than Watergate, and Annan worse than Nixon! Quite a trophy for Ms Rosett--and for blogs.

(via Instapundit)

Voting Still Open

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Sunday, December 05, 2004

Western Tolerance--And Resistance to Change

At the counter of my local bookstore in a trendy D.C. neighborhood this weekend, I noted the absence of anti-war posters that had been a fixture for nearly two years. The cash-register operator replied: "And it didn't do any good; we still got the damn war." Which was a great set up for an idea I've discussed before: "Sure it did!," I said. "It allowed me to confirm liberals hate America more than they love freedom and human rights." No response, of course, other than a disgusted glare.

It's hardly an isolated incident. Dedicated secularists to a fault, Democrats fear the faithful--but despite the murder of 3000 Americans, many won't condemn radical Islam. Anti-Americanism apparently trumps any other value:
At least a part of the Western left -- or rather the Western far left -- is now so anti-American, or so anti-Bush, that it actually prefers authoritarian or totalitarian leaders to any government that would be friendly to the United States. Many of the same people who found it hard to say anything bad about Saddam Hussein find it equally difficult to say anything nice about pro-democracy demonstrators in Ukraine. Many of the same people who would refuse to condemn a dictator who is anti-American cannot bring themselves to admire democrats who admire, or at least don't hate, the United States.
Originally I thought Pim Fortuyn might save Europe. Then I hoped the horror prompted by his assassination, days before he would have been elected Prime Minister of the Netherlands, would be a wake-up call. And more recently, the brutal public slaying of Dutch filmmaker Leo Van Gogh should remove any doubt about the threat of global terrorism.

Thus far, the silence is deafening. Still, maybe it's not too late. In addition to the Pryce-Jones and Hanson articles, mentioned earlier, the Times of London reported encouraging signs liberals are recognizing their pursuit of diversity may have limits, especially where tolerance promotes intolerant Islamic radicals:
From Norway to Sicily, governments, politicians and the media are laying aside their doctrines of diversity and insisting that “Islamism”, as the French call the fundamentalist form that pervades the housing estates, is incompatible with Europe’s liberal values.

The shift is not just a reaction to exceptional violence such as the Madrid train bombings, or the murder of Theo van Gogh, the anti-Islamic Dutch film-maker, by a Dutch-Moroccan. It stems from a belief that more muscular methods are needed to integrate Europe’s 13-million strong Muslim community and to combat creeds that breed extremists and ultimately, terrorism. With mixed results, governments are trying to quell the scourge by co- opting Muslim leaders to promote a moderate European Islam.

In Germany, with its three million — mainly Turkish — Muslims, and France, with its five million of mainly North African descent, television viewers were shocked when local young Muslims approved of Van Gogh’s murder. "If you insult Islam, you have to pay," was a typical response.
If "tolerance" is to endure, it must mean something other than "anti-Americanism." If the left has a future, it must be able to identify, then condemn, tyranny. And if the Democratic Party is to survive, it needs to rethink its priorities, as Peter Beinart suggested in The New Republic:
[T]hree years after September 11 brought the United States face-to-face with a new totalitarian threat, liberalism has still not "been fundamentally reshaped" by the experience. On the right, a "historical re-education" has indeed occurred--replacing the isolationism of the Gingrich Congress with George W. Bush and Dick Cheney's near-theological faith in the transformative capacity of U.S. military might. But American liberalism, as defined by its activist organizations, remains largely what it was in the 1990s--a collection of domestic interests and concerns. On health care, gay rights, and the environment, there is a positive vision, articulated with passion. But there is little liberal passion to win the struggle against Al Qaeda--even though totalitarian Islam has killed thousands of Americans and aims to kill millions; and even though, if it gained power, its efforts to force every aspect of life into conformity with a barbaric interpretation of Islam would reign terror upon women, religious minorities, and anyone in the Muslim world with a thirst for modernity or freedom.

When liberals talk about America's new era, the discussion is largely negative--against the Iraq war, against restrictions on civil liberties, against America's worsening reputation in the world. In sharp contrast to the first years of the cold war, post-September 11 liberalism has produced leaders and institutions--most notably Michael Moore and MoveOn--that do not put the struggle against America's new totalitarian foe at the center of their hopes for a better world. As a result, the Democratic Party boasts a fairly hawkish foreign policy establishment and a cadre of politicians and strategists eager to look tough. But, below this small elite sits a Wallacite grassroots that views America's new struggle as a distraction, if not a mirage. Two elections, and two defeats, into the September 11 era, American liberalism still has not [changed]. And the hour is getting late.
It might be too late to save Europe. But, surely, conserving America is a goal of both the right and the left. I look forward to working with Democrats in the Scoop Jackson mold--a Senator who often said "I'm a liberal but not a damn fool"--serious about preserving the United States.

Ne Plus Ultra of Liberal Multiculturism

Today's New York Times travel section suggests a new destination for sophisticated travelers bored by Paris or Palm Beach--Libya:
As we toured Tripoli's medina, a brief walk from the hotel, I was struck by how refreshingly tranquil it was. This was not your typical Middle Eastern souk, a riotous, rattling, sputtering engine of commerce and emotion. A few children set off firecrackers in the street. Cascades of sparks poured from a metalworking shop, where men smoked silently from hookahs. But there were no hordes to elbow, no hard sell, no streams of beggars, as there are in Cairo.
Ahh, tranquil today. But as seemingly required by the Times' style manual, no story is complete without bashing America:
Back at the hotel, I bought some of the most amusing stamps I have seen anywhere, a set titled "American Aggression." At 200 dirhams apiece - about 15 cents, at the rate of 1.3 dinars to the dollar (a dirham is 1,000th of a dinar) - they featured not only the requisite defiant images of the Colonel but also a series, in blazing comic book colors, of enormous Libyan surface-to-air missiles annihilating fully armed American fighter jets.

As with so many things Libyan, however, even the sale of such a potentially inflammatory item came with a bright smile and a shrug. Despite American air strikes designed to kill its leaders, and a Bush administration that has enflamed Muslims around the world, I found the Libyans to be warm and self-deprecating. And despite being branded a rogue terrorist state by the international community, Libya felt perfectly safe in both urban and rural areas.
Of course, the Times doesn't supply a context for America's acts. The article never mentions that Libya admitted bombing a Berlin disco (killing 2 and wounding 229); destroying Pan Am Flight 103 over Lockerbie, Scotland (killing all 259 aboard plus 11 on the ground); and downing a French UTA aircraft (killing all 170 aboard). Because the left seems un-acquainted with history (other than the events of the 60s), they've probably forgotten that Libya was an implacable enemy until President Bush's diplomacy, coupled with the Iraq invasion and capture of Saddam, convinced strongman Colonel Moammar al-Ghadafi to abandon its WMD program and cuddle-up to the West.

I'm not arguing the travel section become political. On the contrary, my complaint is that Times one-sidedly promotes the liberal line throughout, possibly unconsciously. Neutrality would be preferable to the world-weary anti-Americanism that pervades the mainstream media today. But I'm not holding my breath.

(via The Corner)

Endorsed by My Vast Right Wing Conspiracy!

Beth's My Vast Right Wing Conspiracy blog was nominated for a 2004 Weblog Award as Best New Blog. She already had my vote, in part because her principal competition is KerrySpot, which is really a big-time "media" blog. And she's also won my heart by endorsing No Oil For Pacifists in the Best of the Top 5000 - 6750 Blogs category. Thanks!

So, when voting for No Oil for Pacifists, be sure to vote for My Vast Right Wing Conspiracy as well. And surf over to her site for posts such as "You know you're from DC when:" Beth deserves it.

Horowitz 1, Goodman 0

Liberal columnist Ellen Goodman published another dozy this weekend mocking efforts of conservatives, especially David Horowitz, to promote ideological diversity among college professors. Goodman's article follows several recent surveys showing that liberals overwhelmingly dominate the faculty, with the imbalance likely increasing.

I've always rated Goodman the worst opinion writer in America. To her credit, however, she doesn't dispute the statistics showing the left is in charge on campus. Instead, she:
  1. intimates liberal control of academia is a fair trade for conservative control of American's government and business--"many of us assume the right is busily targeting the highest court as their last unoccupied power base. . . .If the faculty clubs are blue, corporate management offices are red."

  2. professes astonishment that the right would co-opt the language and tactics of the left--"What is fascinating, however, is to see how the campus watchers have usurped the language of liberalism for their own."

  3. suggests that diversity in academia isn't important--"let us not forget that campuses are still lacking in the old-fashioned kind of diversity."
I wish Goodman were correct that conservatives were in charge at the Supreme Court and elsewhere in the Federal government. In fact, however, compasses of the Judiciary still point left, as does the Executive Branch bureaucracy (as shown by the CIA's war on the Bush Administration). And Goodman's surprise when assault by syllogisms of the left shows she hasn't considered the full consequences of her diversity rhetoric. It's also straight from the pages of Neal Stephenson's Cryptonomicon:
"I strenuously object to being labeled and pigeonholed and stereotyped as a technocrat," Randy said, deliberately using oppressed-person's language, maybe in an attempt to turn their weapons against them. . . Some of them, out of habit, looked at him soberly; etiquette dictated that you give all sympathy to the oppressed. (Mass market paperback ed. at 84.)
Worse still, Goodman's column utterly fails to support the liberal case. As is well known, yet ignored by Ms. Goodman, the Supreme Court just locked-in racial preferences in college admissions. The Court found that promoting "diversity" among students was a sufficiently important governmental interest to overcome the 14th Amendment's prohibition on racial discrimination. But if diversity among students is educational, surely diversity among teachers is even better. Yet Goodman's column doesn't even mention affirmative action, and thus elides Horowitz's central point: No matter how diverse the student body, college education today is mono-chromatic. Today's leftist facility knows, and teaches, only blue-state values.

I don't doubt Ellen Goodman's enjoys capturing the college campus. But her column never supplies a plausible policy rationale nor defends limiting diversity to students, not teachers. Why? Simple: it's indefensible.

Miserable Weekend

I lost a post (having not backed it up), and my Mazda RX-7 died and had to be towed.




Regardless, remember to vote for No Oil For Pacifists in the 2004 Weblog Awards.