Friday, July 22, 2011


The 2007 IPCC Report predicted rising sea levels--as much as 59 centimeters by 2100. Yet, according to Der Spiegel:
When the next report from the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is issued in two years, it will include a forecast for how high the world's oceans might rise by 2100. With 146 million people in the world currently living less than one meter above sea level, the forecast will be vital in determining how much money governments must spend on measures to protect people from the rising waters and to resettle those in the most acute danger.

Eighteen scientists from 10 countries are involved in the task, and their first step is to determine which of the myriad studies relating to climate change's effect on ocean levels to consider. In the end, they are to establish a possible range, with the maximum being the most decisive -- and most contested -- number. Even more challenging, the estimates currently differ by almost five meters (16.5 feet). . .

On the one hand, researchers have published forecasts that are far higher than the result reported in the last IPCC report. On the other, sea level measurements have yet to prove any meaningful rise though there is agreement that they are, on global average, rising.
Conclusion: Sea levels aren't rising significantly. Contrary suggestions derive from Al Gore's scare stories or computer models devoid of common knowledge and with an error rate of over 700 percent.

BTW, Russia's not warming either.

(via Watts Up With That?, Coyote Blog)


A_Nonny_Mouse said...

When are they gonna give up and say, "Look, we don't know. We need to study climate for another 250 years, and work on developing accurate weather-modeling programs. *IF* we get to the point that we can input known historical variables and have our computers arrive at the known resulting weather patterns, THEN we'll re-visit this "climate prediction" thing. In the meantime, we'll just have to cope with what Gaia/ Mother Nature/ &/or random weather variability (take your pick) throws at us from day to day and decade to decade. Thank you."

OBloodyHell said...

Rising sea levels? Not since 1840 or thereabouts.

With the passing of John Daly years ago, the site has become moribund, but the mark centered on the mast remains, proclaiming to all and sundry a modernized version of Galileo's "They Still Move!" to the AGW Pope and his Archbishops.