Sunday, September 23, 2007

QOTD

UPDATE: here

From Bjorn Lomborg's Cool It: The Skeptical Environmentalist's Guide to Global Warming at 17, 38:
How will heat and cold death change over the coming century? Let us for the moment assume--very unrealistically--that we will not adapt at all to the future heat. Still, the biggest cold and heat study from Europe concludes that for an increase of 3.6°F, "our data suggest that any increases in mortality due to increased temperatures would be outweighed by much larger short-term declines in cold-related mortalities." For Britain, it is estimated that a 3.6°F increase will mean two thousand more heat deaths but twenty thousand fewer cold deaths. . .

In total, about 1.4 million people will be saved each year, due to more than 1.7 million fewer deaths from cardiovascular diseases and 365,000 more deaths from respiratory disorders. This holds true for the United States and Europe (each with about 175,000 saved) as for the rest of the industrialized world. But even China and India will see more than 720,000 saved each year, with deaths avoided outweighing extra deaths nine to one.

4 comments:

Assistant Village Idiot said...

"Facts! You can prove anything with facts!" Homer Simpson.

Yet more evidence that to too many environmentalists, the environment is not the issue. Making people live the right way is the issue.

Anonymous said...

Just the facts, ma'am, but ALL the facts, please.

The facts in the quote are provided in vacuum. They ignore other facts . . . on both sides I am sure. Such as, how many more or fewer deaths will occur from the increased number of tsunamis that might result from climate change or how many more or fewer drug economy-related deaths will occur as the ideal weather for growing marijuana or opium moves farther north. Ad infinitum.

-Cogito

Carl said...

Cogito:

There is no demonstrated link between warming and tropical cyclones. As for your other speculation, that is driven by human, not climate, action.

Assistant Village Idiot said...

A decent point, cogito, if there is anything other than speculation behind it. Otherwise, I can speculate endlessly myself.