I've already tried an electoral prediction; go to Real Clear Politics for their count: Bush: 291, Kerry: 221, Toss-up: 26. RCP gives Bush Iowa, Wisconsin and West Virginia; toss-ups are New Hampshire, New Mexico, Oregon and Minnesota. I think Bush wins New Hampshire and Kerry takes the other three, plus Wisconsin, with Pennsylvania 21 votes, and West Virginia's 5, in play. My count: Bush: 280; Kerry 232, Toss-up: 26.
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